Breaking
US Iran blockade odds climb 17.5 points as whales back YES with $29K net flow
Polymarket’s 24-hour price surge to 58.5% on US blockade question matched by strong whale buying signals increased conviction.
Jul 12
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Daily digests, accuracy rankings and market reads on Polymarket data. 2,182 stories.
Breaking
Polymarket’s Iran shipping target yes contract jumps 93.1 pp to 95.3% with whale buying
Whales bought $11K into yes as the probability surged from 2.2% to 95.3% in 24 hours on Iran’s July 12 shipping target market.
Jul 12
Breaking
“Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by August 31?” YES price jumps 20 pp to 51.5%
Whales backed the sharp 24-hour price rise with $27K net inflow into YES contracts, signaling strong conviction.
Jul 12
Breaking
‘Will HEROIC Qualify to LAN BLAST Bounty 2026 Season 2?’ YES price plunges 49.3 pp to 0.65%
The market’s sharp drop contrasts with whale activity, revealing conflicting signals on HEROIC’s LAN BLAST qualification odds.
Jul 12
Breaking
“Will a team from LPL (China) win MSI 2026?” YES price plunges 57.5pp in 24h despite $30K whale buys
Polymarket’s YES contract for an LPL MSI 2026 win fell from 57.5% to 0.05%, diverging sharply from whale buying activity.
Jul 12
Breaking
“Will Hanwha Life Esports win MSI 2026?” YES price jumps 59.5pp to 100% on Polymarket
Whales supported the surge with a $22K net inflow into YES contracts amid $42K total 24-hour volume.
Jul 12
Breaking
Iran Military Action Odds Surge 76 Points to 83.5% on Polymarket
Whale trades and price moves aligned as markets sharply repriced the likelihood of Iranian military action on July 12.
Jul 12
Breaking
Iran Shipping Target Market Soars 88.6pp to 90.9% as Whales Back Move
Whales contributed $11K net buying in line with a dramatic 24-hour rise from 2.3% to 90.9% on Polymarket.
Jul 12
Breaking
58.5-Point Plunge in Bilibili MSI 2026 Odds Contrasts With $20K Whale Buy Flow
Despite a sharp drop in the YES price for Bilibili Gaming to 0.05%, whales have increased their net exposure by $20K, signaling a split between market pricing and large trader activity.
Jul 12
Breaking
Iran Gulf military action odds surge 70pp to 77.5% with whale support
Polymarket’s ‘Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 12?’ contract jumps sharply as whale activity aligns with price move.
Jul 12