Breaking
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 12? YES price jumps 80 pp to 89.5%
Whale trading aligned with a sharp rise in odds, pushing the market from 9.5% to 89.5% in 24 hours.
Jul 12
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Daily digests, accuracy rankings and market reads on Polymarket data. 2,182 stories.
Breaking
Iran Gulf State military action odds surge 84pp to 93.5% on Polymarket
Whale trading aligned with sharp price jump, pushing odds from 9.5% to 93.5% in 24 hours.
Jul 12
Breaking
“Iran successfully targets shipping on July 12?” YES price jumps 87.8 pp to 91.2% on Polymarket
Whales supported the sharp repricing with $12K net buys amid $23K total 24-hour volume, signaling strong conviction in the outcome.
Jul 12
Breaking
Russia Capture of Kostyantynivka Odds Jump 25.5 Points to 52% on Polymarket
Whales supported the sharp price rise with $28K net buys, pushing the market over the 50% threshold.
Jul 12
Breaking
Russia Capture of Kostyantynivka Jumps 28.5pp to 55% on Polymarket
Whales supported a sharp shift in odds, doubling the YES price with $28K net inflow amid $51K 24-hour volume.
Jul 12
Breaking
Anthropic Claude Fable 5 Extension YES Price Surges 71.5pp to 100%
Whale activity aligned with a sharp market repricing on Polymarket, confirming near-certainty of an extension by July 12.
Jul 12
Breaking
Iran military action market jumps 77.5 points to 87% as whale flow backs surge
Polymarket’s contract on Iran launching military action against a Gulf State on July 12 saw a sharp repricing, with large traders confirming the move.
Jul 12
Whales
0x2cff…59db places $338K bet on UFC 329 outcome priced at 70.5%
This wallet’s $635K total bets today align with strong whale buying amid $18.33M market volume on UFC 329.
Jul 12
Breaking
YES price on Strait of Hormuz transit plunges 27.5 pp as whale flow diverges
Polymarket's contract on 40 ships transiting the Strait of Hormuz by July 31, 2026, saw a sharp 27.5 percentage point drop in YES price amid opposing whale activity.
Jul 12
Breaking
US-Iran diplomatic meeting odds drop 17.5pp despite $48K whale buying
Whale purchases of $48K in ‘YES’ contracts contrast with a sharp 17.5 percentage point decline in Polymarket price.
Jul 12