Breaking
US reissues Iran oil sanction relief by July 31? YES price plunges 38.5 pp to 19.0%
Whale activity diverged sharply from the 24-hour price drop, signaling conflicting views on sanction relief timing.
Jul 13
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Daily digests, accuracy rankings and market reads on Polymarket data. 2,182 stories.
Breaking
YES price jumps 33 points to 85% on $25M+ Credible public sale market
Whale activity confirmed the sharp 24-hour repricing on Polymarket, pushing odds well above the halfway mark.
Jul 13
Breaking
Israel-Lebanon diplomatic meeting odds surge 62pp to 88.5% in 24 hours
Whale activity aligned with a sharp price jump, signaling strong conviction on a July 14 meeting.
Jul 13
Breaking
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 9? YES price jumps 40.2 pp to 69.0%
Whale activity moved in line with a sharp 24-hour surge in odds for Iranian military action on Polymarket.
Jul 13
Breaking
Bitcoin $65K July Market YES Price Drops 29pp Despite $28K Whale Net Buys
Whale buying diverged from a sharp 29.0 percentage point drop in YES price on Polymarket, signaling mixed sentiment on Bitcoin’s July surge.
Jul 13
Breaking
“Over $30M committed to the Credible public sale?” YES price jumps 20.5 pp to 61.0%
Whales added $5K net to YES as Polymarket’s odds for Credible public sale funding rise sharply in 24 hours.
Jul 13
Breaking
Israel-Lebanon diplomatic meeting odds jump 72.5 points to 90.5% on Polymarket
Whale activity aligned with sharp repricing, pushing YES price from 18.0% to 90.5% in 24 hours.
Jul 13
Breaking
Fed Rates No-Change Market Drops 19pp Despite $555K Whale Buy Flow
Polymarket’s July 2026 Fed rates market saw a sharp 19pp decline in YES price even as whales bought $555K net into the same outcome.
Jul 13
Breaking
Israel-Lebanon diplomatic meeting odds surge 69.5pp to 87.5% on Polymarket
Whale activity aligned with a sharp 24-hour price jump, pushing the YES contract near certainty.
Jul 13
Breaking
“Fed rate hike in 2026?” YES price jumps 17.0 pp to 76.5% on $48K whale inflow
Whales drove a $48K net buy into the YES side as the market surged from 59.5% to 76.5% in 24 hours, signaling stronger conviction on a rate increase in 2026.
Jul 13