Breaking
Pamela Evette’s Nominee Odds Drop 32pp as Whale Flow Diverges on Polymarket
YES contract price for Evette as South Carolina GOP Senate nominee slumped from 45.5% to 13.5% despite whale activity.
Jul 13
#%spolymarket
Daily digests, accuracy rankings and market reads on Polymarket data. 2,182 stories.
Breaking
Odds McConnell steps down before term ends drop 20.5 pp as whale flow diverges
Whales bought $43K in YES contracts even as market odds fell from 56.0% to 35.5% in 24 hours.
Jul 13
Breaking
Iran military action odds surge 43 points to 74% on Polymarket
Whale activity aligned with price move as market sharply repriced likelihood of conflict on July 9
Jul 13
Breaking
John Pardon Fields Medal YES price jumps 23pp to 98.5% with $2K whale support
Polymarket’s odds on John Pardon winning the 2026 Fields Medal surged alongside aligned whale buying activity over 24 hours.
Jul 13
Breaking
Israel-Lebanon diplomatic meeting odds jump 75pp to 93% on Polymarket
Whale trading and price action moved in tandem, pushing the contract from 18% to 93% in 24 hours.
Jul 13
Breaking
Iran military action odds jump 35.7 points to 65.6% on Polymarket
Whale activity aligned with a sharp 24-hour rise in probability for Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 9.
Jul 13
Breaking
Israel-Lebanon diplomatic meeting odds surge 70pp to 88% on Polymarket
Whale activity and price shifts moved in tandem, signaling strong market conviction on a meeting by July 14, 2026.
Jul 13
Breaking
Bitcoin $65K July Odds Drop 28pp as Whale Flow Diverges from Price
Polymarket’s Bitcoin $65,000 July market saw a sharp 28.0 percentage point fall in YES price despite $26K whale net buying, highlighting a split between large traders and market pricing.
Jul 13
Breaking
Israel-Lebanon diplomatic meeting odds jump 67pp to 85% on Polymarket
Whale activity aligned with a sharp 67-point rise in the probability of a diplomatic meeting by July 14, 2026, pushing the market to a new high.
Jul 13
Breaking
Israel-Lebanon diplomatic meeting odds jump 59.5 pp to 77.5% in 24 hours
Whale activity tracked with sharp price rise as market bets on a summit by July 14, 2026
Jul 13