The Polymarket contract “Over $30M committed to the Credible public sale?” saw its YES price climb 20.5 percentage points in the past 24 hours, rising from 40.5% to 61.0% as of the July 13 snapshot. This sizable repricing reflects a growing market consensus that the public sale will surpass $30 million in commitments.
Whale activity aligned with this upward shift in odds, with 25 unique whales contributing a net $5K inflow into YES positions. Their buy volume of $6K outweighed $2K in sells, supporting the price rally amid a 24-hour total trading volume of $9K on Polymarket. Lifetime market volume stands at $19K, with 61 unique traders participating overall.
The Polydata on-chain mid-price offers a slightly more conservative estimate at 54.0%, but the Polymarket YES contract currently trades higher, indicating fresh optimism among traders and whales alike. The coordinated price and whale flow movement suggests confidence in the public sale’s ability to exceed the $30 million threshold.
This combined price and flow dynamic signals increased conviction in the Credible public sale’s funding success, as market participants adjust their positions in response to emerging information and whale buying pressure.
| Market | Over $30M committed to the Credible public sale? |
|---|---|
| Market ID | 2845812 |
| 24h price change | +20.5 pp |
| YES now (PM Breaking) | 61.0% |
| YES ~24h ago (est.) | 40.5% |
| YES (Polydata overview) | 54.0% |
| Whale net flow (24h) | $5K |
| Whale buy / sell (24h) | $6K / $2K |
| Unique whales (24h) | 25 |
| Volume 24h (PM) | $9K |
| Unique traders (Polydata) | 61 |
Source: Polydata API v3 · /whales/flow + Polymarket Breaking · snapshot 2026-07-13. Data: Polydata API v3. On-chain figures are public. Realized PnL is computed over resolved markets only and excludes open positions, so it is conservative versus the Polymarket UI. This is not investment advice.