Breaking
Fed 25bps hike after July 2026 meeting YES price plunges 28.5pp as whales buy $863K
Whale buying flow diverged sharply from a steep drop in market odds, signaling complex positioning in the Fed rate hike market.
Jul 15
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Daily digests, accuracy rankings and market reads on Polymarket data. 2,182 stories.
Breaking
Iran military action odds jump 32.5pp to 85.5% as whales back YES on Polymarket
Whale net flow of $3K aligned with a sharp 24-hour price rise in the Iran Gulf State military action market.
Jul 15
Breaking
Fed Rate Hike by July 2026 Meeting? YES Price Drops 29.0 pp Amid Divergent Whale Flow
YES contract for a July 2026 Fed rate hike fell from 34.8% to 5.8%, while whales increased net bets by $85K, signaling conflicting signals.
Jul 15
Breaking
Israeli parliament dissolution odds jump 33.6 points to 81% on Polymarket
Whale trading and price action aligned as market sharply repriced the chance of parliament dissolving by July 16.
Jul 15
Daily
Polymarket posts $54.59M volume with 2.3M trades in past 24 hours
Daily volume falls 18.4% below recent average amid strong activity in 2026 FIFA World Cup markets
Jul 15
Breaking
Bitcoin $60K July Dip Contract Loses 36pp as Whale Flow Diverges
Despite a sharp 36 percentage point drop in YES price, whale activity moved against the sell-off in the Bitcoin dip market.
Jul 14
Breaking
53.0% YES price on UK Home Secretary market falls 38.5 pp despite $2K whale buy
Polymarket’s price on no next UK Home Secretary in 2026 slumps from 91.5% to 53.0%, with whale flow diverging from the sharp drop.
Jul 14
Breaking
Ethereum $1,900 July Contract Surges 48pp to 94.5% with Whale Support
Polymarket's Ethereum price target contract nearly doubles in odds as whale buying aligns with the sharp price rally.
Jul 14
Breaking
YES price on Strait of Hormuz transit plunges 51.6pp amid whale flow divergence
Polymarket's contract on 30 ships transiting the Strait of Hormuz by July 31, 2026, sees a sharp price drop to 41.0%, while whales add $37K to YES positions.
Jul 14
Breaking
Argentina World Cup goals market jumps 39pp as whales back YES
Polymarket's odds for Argentina scoring most goals at the 2026 World Cup surged to 78.8%, supported by $3K whale net buying over 24 hours.
Jul 14