The market “Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo?” saw its YES price climb sharply by 35.1 percentage points over the past 24 hours, rising from 62.5% to 97.7%. This substantial repricing coincided with significant whale activity, which supported the price move rather than contradicting it.
Whales contributed a net flow of $741K into YES contracts during this period, with buy volume totaling $1.36M against $623K in sell volume. This net inflow accounted for a large portion of the total 24-hour Polymarket volume of $1.52M, indicating that large traders were highly active and aligned with the market’s bullish shift.
The market’s lifetime volume stands at $1.67M, with 2,146 unique traders having participated, and 584 unique whales contributing to the recent surge. The alignment of whale flow with the price increase suggests broad conviction among influential traders, reinforcing the sharp rise in implied probability for this outcome.
Overall, the combined price and whale flow data signal a decisive change in market sentiment toward the likelihood that Trump will be in the WC Champions Photo, with large traders driving the market to near certainty.
| Market | Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo? |
|---|---|
| Market ID | 2470848 |
| 24h price change | +35.1 pp |
| YES now (PM Breaking) | 97.7% |
| YES ~24h ago (est.) | 62.5% |
| YES (Polydata overview) | 97.7% |
| Whale net flow (24h) | $741K |
| Whale buy / sell (24h) | $1.36M / $623K |
| Unique whales (24h) | 584 |
| Volume 24h (PM) | $1.52M |
| Unique traders (Polydata) | 2,146 |
Source: Polydata API v3 · /whales/flow + Polymarket Breaking · snapshot 2026-07-20. Data: Polydata API v3. On-chain figures are public. Realized PnL is computed over resolved markets only and excludes open positions, so it is conservative versus the Polymarket UI. This is not investment advice.