Breaking
Trump-China interference accusation market jumps 29pp to 75% on Polymarket
Whale activity aligned with a sharp 29.0 percentage point rise in YES price to 75.0%, signaling strong conviction on a Trump accusation by July 16.
Jul 16
#%spolitics
Daily digests, accuracy rankings and market reads on Polymarket data. 128 stories.
Breaking
“Israeli parliament dissolved by July 16?” YES price plunges 68.9 pp to 4.2%
Whale activity diverged sharply from the market’s dramatic drop in odds over 24 hours.
Jul 16
Breaking
Trump-China interference accusation odds jump 39pp to 72% on Polymarket
Whale bets and price surge align in a sharp repricing of the July 16 accusation market.
Jul 16
Breaking
Odds Israeli Parliament Dissolved by July 16 Plunge 65.8 Points to 6.3% on Polymarket
YES contract price collapses despite whale activity diverging from the sharp drop in odds.
Jul 16
Breaking
Trump China interference accusation odds jump 34.5 points in 24 hours
Whale buying pushed Polymarket’s YES price on Trump accusing China of election interference to 68.5% from 34.0%.
Jul 16
PMX Index
PMX Politics and Crypto Activity Reach 44-Day Highs as Composite Dips to 33.1
Polydata’s exclusive PMX index shows a sharply risk-off mood overall amid uneven sub-index signals highlighting political and crypto market surges.
Jul 16
Breaking
Odds for Israeli parliament dissolution by July 16 plunge 62.2pp as whale flow diverges
Polymarket’s “Israeli parliament dissolved by July 16?” market saw a sharp drop in YES price despite whale activity moving in the opposite direction.
Jul 16
Breaking
Polymarket YES price on Israeli parliament dissolution plunges 52.2 pp in 24h
Whale activity diverged sharply from the price drop, signaling mixed conviction in the market move.
Jul 16
Breaking
Trump China interference accusation odds jump 43.5 pp to 77% on Polymarket
Whale activity aligned with a sharp 24-hour surge in the market’s YES price to 77%, signaling strong conviction on the outcome.
Jul 16
Breaking
Russell Fry Senate Nominee Odds Drop 23.5 Points as Whale Flow Diverges
Polymarket's contract on Russell Fry for South Carolina Senate nomination fell from 61.5% to 38.0% despite whale activity moving against the price shift.
Jul 16