Daily digests, accuracy rankings and market reads on Polymarket data. 128 stories.
Polymarket’s price for a Trump-Netanyahu meeting fell sharply from 43.5% to 6.0%, while whale trading moved against the price trend.
Whale activity tracked the sharp rise in odds for Trump’s speech lasting 25 to 30 minutes, confirming the rapid market repricing.
Whale buying diverged from a sharp drop in market odds, signaling mixed signals on Trump’s accusation timing.
The odds that Trump's speech lasts at least 30 minutes collapsed from 36.5% to 0.05%, while whale activity diverged from the price move.
Polymarket’s South Carolina Senate nominee market saw a sharp 18.0 pp decline in YES price despite whale activity not supporting the move.
Whale activity tracked the sharp rise in odds, pushing market conviction higher in a single day.
Polymarket's contract on Trump accusing China saw a sharp 24.2 percentage point rise in YES price, with whale activity confirming the move.
Whale activity matched a sharp 21.5 percentage point jump in YES price over 24 hours on Polymarket.
Polymarket’s data shows whale activity aligned with a sharp increase in odds for a Trump accusation by July 16, signaling growing market conviction.
Whale activity diverged sharply from price drop as market slashed chances of dissolution by July 16
