Iran military action odds plunge 40.5pp as whale flow diverges from price
YES contract for Iran Gulf State attack drops from 82.5% to 42% despite $10K whale buys.
Daily digests, accuracy rankings and market reads on Polymarket data. 115 stories.
YES contract for Iran Gulf State attack drops from 82.5% to 42% despite $10K whale buys.
Whales backed the surge with $10K net buys, lifting the market from 56.5% to 92.2% in 24 hours
Polymarket contracts on Iran's Gulf military action fell sharply despite large whale bets opposing the move.
Polymarket's “Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 16?” contract fell from 71.5% to 36.0% despite whale activity moving against the price shift.
Polymarket's 'Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 16?' market sees sharp price decline despite whale activity moving oppositely.
Polymarket’s “Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 15?” market sees a sharp 29.0 percentage point fall in YES price amid whale buying that diverges from the price move.
Polymarket’s “Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 16?” contract fell sharply from 69.0% to 29.5% even as whale flow diverged by supporting YES.
Whale flow diverged from a sharp 39-point drop in YES price on Polymarket's Iran Gulf military action market.
Polymarket’s market on Iran’s Gulf military action saw YES contract price drop from 67.5% to 30.5% despite whale bets moving opposite the price trend.
Polymarket's 'Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 16?' market saw a sharp price decline while whale flow diverged, signaling conflicting signals in market sentiment.