Breaking
Iran Gulf military action odds plunge 34pp as whale flow diverges
YES contract on Iran military action against a Gulf State dropped from 65.5% to 31.5% despite whale activity moving against the price shift.
Jul 17
#%sgeopolitics
Daily digests, accuracy rankings and market reads on Polymarket data. 431 stories.
Breaking
Iran military action odds jump 25.5 points to 80.5% with whale buying
Whale activity aligned with a sharp 24-hour increase in the probability of Iran taking military action against a Gulf State on July 17.
Jul 17
Breaking
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 16? YES price drops 47.5pp to 24.0%
YES contract price plunges from 71.5% to 24.0% despite whale flow moving against the trend
Jul 17
Breaking
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 16? YES odds drop 37.5pp to 34.0%
Polymarket sees a sharp 24-hour decline in odds amid diverging whale activity on Iran's Gulf State military action market.
Jul 17
Breaking
“Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 15?” YES price drops 41.5 pp amid whale flow divergence
Polymarket’s market on Iran military action halves in odds while whales add $11K to YES, diverging from price direction.
Jul 17
Breaking
Iran Military Action Odds Drop 41.5 Points Despite Whale Bets
Polymarket’s “Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 16?” contract saw a sharp 41.5 percentage point decline in YES price, while whale flow moved against the price direction.
Jul 17
Breaking
‘Will Trump meet Netanyahu by July 20, 2026?’ YES price plunges 80.9 pp to 1.6%
Polymarket's odds on a Trump-Netanyahu meeting collapsed despite whale bets diverging from the sharp price drop.
Jul 17
Breaking
Polymarket’s Iran Gulf military action contract drops 35.5pp as whale flow diverges
YES price for Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 16? plunged from 73.0% to 37.5%, while whale activity moved against the price shift.
Jul 16
Breaking
Iran Gulf military action odds plunge 43pp as whale flow resists price drop
Polymarket’s YES contract on Iran military action against a Gulf State fell sharply despite whale bets favoring the outcome.
Jul 16
Breaking
Iran Gulf military action odds plunge 42pp despite whale buying
Whale flow diverged sharply from price as YES contract on Iran Gulf military action dropped from 73.0% to 31.0%.
Jul 16