Breaking
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire Odds Drop 47 Points Despite Whale Bets
Polymarket's ceasefire market saw a sharp 47.0 percentage point fall in YES price, while whale flow diverged by backing YES positions.
Jul 16
#%sgeopolitics
Daily digests, accuracy rankings and market reads on Polymarket data. 431 stories.
Breaking
Iran military action market slumps 43.5 points as whale flow diverges
YES price on Iran military action against Gulf State plunges from 70.5% to 27.0% despite whale selling pressure.
Jul 16
Breaking
Iran Gulf military action odds plunge 45.5 points as whales diverge from price move
YES contract on Iran military action falls from 81.5% to 36.0% despite $12K whale net buying, signaling conflicting signals in Polymarket flow and pricing.
Jul 16
Breaking
Iran Gulf military action odds plunge 40pp as whale flow diverges sharply
Despite a $12K whale net buy, the YES contract price halved from 80% to 40% in 24 hours, signaling market skepticism.
Jul 16
Breaking
US x Iran Ceasefire Odds Collapse 41.5 Points Despite Whale Buying
Whale flow diverged sharply from price, as the market slashed ceasefire chances while whales added to YES positions.
Jul 16
Breaking
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24? YES price drops 31pp as whale flow diverges
Polymarket's US x Iran ceasefire market saw a sharp 31 percentage point fall in YES price, while whale bets moved oppositely, highlighting conflicting signals.
Jul 16
Breaking
Iran Gulf military action odds drop 32.5pp as whale flow diverges from price
YES price on Polymarket for Iran military action against a Gulf State fell from 74.0% to 41.5% despite $12K whale net buying in past 24 hours.
Jul 16
Breaking
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 16? YES price drops 23pp to 44.5%
Polymarket's market saw a sharp 23.0 percentage point decline in YES contract price amid whale activity diverging from price moves.
Jul 16
Breaking
Iran Gulf military action odds plunge 28.5 points as whales buy into YES
Whale buying contrasts with sharp price drop, signaling diverging views on July 15 event.
Jul 16
Breaking
Iran Gulf military action odds drop 30.5 points amid whale-price divergence
Whales increased YES bets by $12K while the market price fell from 73.5% to 43.0% in 24 hours.
Jul 16