Breaking
Israel-Iran ceasefire odds jump 28 points to 61.5% on Polymarket
Whale activity aligned with a sharp 24-hour rise in market confidence that the ceasefire will last through July 31.
Jul 18
#%sgeopolitics
Daily digests, accuracy rankings and market reads on Polymarket data. 431 stories.
Breaking
Israel x Iran ceasefire odds surge 52pp to 61.5% amid aligned whale buying
Polymarket's 'Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?' market saw a sharp rise in YES price with whale activity confirming the move.
Jul 18
Breaking
Israel military action by July 31? YES price jumps 15pp to 24% with whale support
Polymarket’s odds for Israeli military action against Yemen surged sharply, backed by $5K whale net inflow into YES contracts.
Jul 18
Breaking
Iran military action odds jump 33 points to 100% on July 17 on Polymarket
Whales supported the surge with $23K net buying as YES price climbed from 67% to certainty in 24 hours.
Jul 18
Breaking
Israel x Iran ceasefire odds jump 26pp to 75% with whale flow confirming move
Polymarket’s market on ceasefire continuation shows strong alignment between whale bets and price surge, signaling heightened confidence.
Jul 17
Breaking
Iran military action odds jump 36pp to 82.5% with $14K whale buying
Whales aligned with a sharp 36pp rise in YES price, driving the market toward a higher probability on Polymarket.
Jul 17
Breaking
Iran Gulf military action odds surge 49pp as whales back YES with $14K net flow
Polymarket’s “Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 15?” market more than doubled in probability amid aligned whale buying.
Jul 17
Breaking
Iran military action odds surge 45.5 points to 80.5% on Polymarket
Whale buying aligned with price jump as contract volume hits $23K in 24 hours
Jul 17
Breaking
Iran military action market jumps 48pp to 84% as whales add $14K to YES
Whale buying aligned with sharp 24-hour price rise from 36% to 84% on Polymarket’s Gulf State conflict question.
Jul 17
Breaking
Iran Military Action Market Surges 38.5 Points as Whales Back YES
Polymarket's contract on Iran attacking a Gulf State on July 15 jumps to 78.5% with $14K whale net buys confirming the rapid price shift.
Jul 17