Iran Gulf military action odds tumble 74.8pp despite whale selling
Polymarket’s Iran military action market dropped sharply from 84.0% to 9.2%, with whale flow moving against the price shift.
Daily digests, accuracy rankings and market reads on Polymarket data. 431 stories.
Polymarket’s Iran military action market dropped sharply from 84.0% to 9.2%, with whale flow moving against the price shift.
YES contract on Iran military action drops from 85% to 9% despite whale bets moving oppositely.
Polymarket price for Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 9 plummets from 84.7% to 5.1% despite whale activity moving opposite the sell-off.
Polymarket’s “Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 9?” market saw an 83.3 percentage point drop in YES price while whale bets moved against the price trend.
Polymarket’s “Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 9?” market slashed YES price from 85.2% to 5.0% despite whale activity moving against the price shift.
Whale flow diverged from a steep 24-hour drop in the Iran Gulf military action market, signaling conflicting trader signals.
Polymarket's odds for Iranian military action against a Gulf State on July 9 dropped sharply despite whale activity moving against the price shift.
Polymarket’s “Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 9?” market saw a sharp 71.5 percentage point drop in YES price despite whale activity diverging from the price move.
Polymarket’s “Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 9?” contract dropped from 73.5% to 7.0% in 24 hours while whale flow diverged by selling YES shares.
Whale flow diverged from price as the market sharply cut the chance of Iran attacking a Gulf State on July 9.