Breaking
Iran Military Action Market Jumps 15.6 Points as Whale Flow Aligns
Polymarket’s “Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 9?” contract doubled its odds in 24 hours amid coordinated whale buying.
Jul 11
#%sgeopolitics
Daily digests, accuracy rankings and market reads on Polymarket data. 431 stories.
Breaking
US x Iran diplomatic meeting odds drop 25pp despite $51K whale buy flow
Whale purchases of $51K into YES contracts contrast with a sharp 25 percentage point decline in Polymarket odds for a US-Iran meeting by July 17, 2026.
Jul 11
Breaking
Iran Military Action Market Surges 22.1 Points to 32% on Polymarket
Whale bets and price moves aligned as the odds of Iranian military action against a Gulf State jumped sharply in 24 hours.
Jul 11
Breaking
Iran Military Action Odds Jump 23.2 Points as Whale Bets Align with Rally
Polymarket’s 'Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 9?' market surged from 12.8% to 35.9% on $34K volume with whale activity confirming the price move.
Jul 11
Breaking
Iran Military Action Odds Jump 15.2 Points to 29.5% on Polymarket
Whale bets and price gains moved in tandem as market reassesses likelihood of Gulf conflict on July 9.
Jul 11
Breaking
Iran military action odds jump 33pp to 46.9% on Polymarket amid aligned whale bets
Whales pushed the “Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 9?” market higher as the YES price surged from 13.9% to 46.9% in 24 hours.
Jul 11
Breaking
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 9? YES odds jump 49.1 pp to 62.9%
Polymarket’s “Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 9?” contract saw a sharp rise in odds with whale activity confirming the move.
Jul 11
Breaking
Iran military action market jumps 29.9 points to 43.3% as whales back the move
Polymarket’s “Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 9?” contract saw coordinated price and whale flow gains, signaling growing conviction.
Jul 11
Breaking
Iran military action odds jump 25.7 points to 39.6% on Polymarket
Whale activity and price gains aligned as the market sharply repriced the likelihood of Iran striking a Gulf State on July 9.
Jul 11
Breaking
Russia Entry into Shevchenko Market Surges 20.6pp to 98.7% on Polymarket
Whale activity of $20K aligns with sharp price rise, signaling strong market conviction on the event.
Jul 11