Breaking
Cook Islands Party’s chances jump 25 points to 75.5% on Polymarket
Whale activity and price action aligned as the market sharply repriced the Cook Islands Party’s prospects in the 2026 election.
Jul 18
#%selections
Daily digests, accuracy rankings and market reads on Polymarket data. 32 stories.
Breaking
Mandela Barnes’ 2026 Wisconsin Governor Primary Odds Drop 16.5 Points Amid Whale-Seller Divergence
YES contract for Mandela Barnes fell from 24.5% to 8.0% despite $2K whale net buying, signaling conflicting signals in the market.
Jul 18
Breaking
Cook Islands Party’s odds jump 30.5 points to 80.5% on Polymarket
Whale activity and market prices moved in sync to sharply boost confidence in the Cook Islands Party’s 2026 election prospects.
Jul 18
Breaking
“Will Count Binface get second place in the Clacton by-election?” YES price falls 16.5 pp as whale flow diverges
Polymarket's YES contract for Count Binface’s second place finish drops from 80.5% to 64.0% despite whale activity moving against the price shift.
Jul 17
Breaking
Darline Graham Nordone’s odds jump 64.7 points to 80.4% on Polymarket
Whale activity aligned with a sharp 24-hour rise in YES price for South Carolina Senate nominee market.
Jul 17
Breaking
Toby Doeden’s 2026 South Dakota GOP primary odds drop 17.5 pp amid whale buying divergence
Price for Toby Doeden to win South Dakota GOP primary fell from 27.5% to 10.0% while whales bought $394 net in YES contracts, diverging from the price move.
Jul 16
Breaking
Berlin CDU election odds drop 15pp as whale bets diverge from price move
Whales bought $6K in YES contracts even as Polymarket’s price for CDU winning Berlin slid from 23.0% to 8.0%.
Jul 11
Breaking
Count Binface’s odds for second place in Clacton jump 19.5 points to 70.5%
Whale trading aligned with a sharp 19.5 pp rise in YES price to 70.5%, signaling growing conviction on Count Binface’s performance.
Jul 10
Breaking
Count Binface’s odds for second place in Clacton by-election jump 26.5 pp to 70%
Whale activity and price action aligned as Count Binface’s chances surged sharply on Polymarket.
Jul 10
Breaking
Count Binface’s second place odds fall 17.5 points despite whale buying
Price on Count Binface’s Clacton by-election finish slid from 86.5% to 69.0% as whale activity diverged from the market move.
Jul 10