The market on whether Count Binface will secure second place in the Clacton by-election saw a substantial repricing in the past 24 hours, with the YES contract rising 26.5 percentage points from 43.5% to 70.0% on July 10, 2026. This represents a major shift in market sentiment toward Binface’s prospects in the race.
Polymarket recorded $15K in volume for this market over the same period, indicating active trading interest. Notably, whale transactions moved in concert with the price increase, reflecting coordinated buying pressure rather than a divergence between large-scale flow and price action.
This alignment between whale flow and the rising YES price suggests that informed traders are reinforcing the market’s upgraded outlook on Binface’s chances.
Overall, the combined surge in price and whale buying activity points to growing confidence in Count Binface’s ability to claim second place in Clacton. This repricing underscores the market’s evolving view and highlights the role of large traders in shaping odds on Polymarket.
| Market | Will Count Binface get second place in the Clacton by-election? |
|---|---|
| Market ID | 2840115 |
| 24h price change | +26.5 pp |
| YES now (PM Breaking) | 70.0% |
| YES ~24h ago (est.) | 43.5% |
| YES (Polydata overview) | — |
| Whale net flow (24h) | $0 |
| Whale buy / sell (24h) | — / — |
| Unique whales (24h) | — |
| Volume 24h (PM) | $15K |
| Unique traders (Polydata) | — |
Source: Polydata API v3 · /whales/flow + Polymarket Breaking · snapshot 2026-07-10. Data: Polydata API v3. On-chain figures are public. Realized PnL is computed over resolved markets only and excludes open positions, so it is conservative versus the Polymarket UI. This is not investment advice.