GPT Model Market Sees 71.2-Point Drop in YES Price Despite Whale Buying
Whale activity diverged from falling prices as the predicted GPT debut score market plunged from 86.0% to 14.8% in 24 hours.
Daily digests, accuracy rankings and market reads on Polymarket data. 78 stories.
Whale activity diverged from falling prices as the predicted GPT debut score market plunged from 86.0% to 14.8% in 24 hours.
Whales contributed $11K net buying alongside a 19.5 percentage point surge in YES price on Polymarket, signaling rising confidence in high GPT model performance by 2026.
Whale activity aligned with a sharp 19-point increase in the Polymarket YES price, lifting market confidence in OpenAI’s upcoming model.
YES contract for Anthropic’s top Math AI model claim plunged from 73.5% to 39.0%, while whales increased YES bets by $5K.
Despite a 28.0 pp plunge in YES price, whales pushed $5K into the contract, signaling conflicting signals in the market.
The market on Google's lead in Math AI by July 2026 saw a sharp price rise supported by $6K net whale inflows over 24 hours.
Whale activity diverged from sharply lower market prices, signaling conflicting views on Anthropic’s AI model prospects.
Whale activity aligned with a sharp 21.5 percentage point increase in YES price on Polymarket for OpenAI’s GPT model scoring at least 1480 by end of 2026.
The probability that OpenAI’s next GPT hits a 1480 score by end-2026 climbed sharply with aligned whale buying and retail volume.
Whales increased exposure by $3K as Polymarket YES price surged to 42.5%, diverging from on-chain mid-price.