Odds for US halting Iran offensive by July 24 drop 20pp on Polymarket
Whale trading diverged sharply from price moves as market slashed chances of a US halt in Iran offensive operations.
Sharp 24-hour price moves on Polymarket’s Breaking feed, with whale-flow context from Polydata.
Whale trading diverged sharply from price moves as market slashed chances of a US halt in Iran offensive operations.
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The YES contract on US halting Iran offensive operations dropped sharply from 36.5% to 9.5%, while whale activity diverged by reducing exposure.
Whale activity moved against the sharp 22pp drop in the US halting Iran offensive operations market, signaling differing views on the outlook.
YES contract for Iran military action on July 15 fell from 58.0% to 16.0% despite $7K whale net buys, signaling conflicting signals between price and whale activity.
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