Breaking
Odds on Claude Opus model release by July 22, 2026, drop 23.5 points despite whale bets
YES price on Polymarket fell from 57.5% to 34.0% in 24 hours while whale flow diverged, pushing $11K volume.
Jul 19
Breaking
Sharp 24-hour price moves on Polymarket’s Breaking feed, with whale-flow context from Polydata.
Breaking
Kareem Allam’s 2026 Vancouver Mayoral Odds Drop 25pp Despite $5K Whale Net Buy
Whale activity diverged from a sharp 25 percentage-point fall in the market's YES price, signaling conflicting signals on Allam's chances.
Jul 19
Breaking
Madonna World Cup Halftime Song Market YES Price Drops 36pp Despite Whale Selling
Whale activity diverged sharply from the 36pp plunge in odds for ‘Like a Prayer’ leading the 2026 FIFA World Cup halftime show.
Jul 19
Breaking
Kylian Mbappe Top Goalscorer Odds Soar 51pp to 92.5% on Polymarket
Whale activity aligned with a sharp price increase, driving $576K net into YES contracts in 24 hours.
Jul 19
Breaking
Argentina top goalscorer odds plunge 48.5pp despite $13K whale buying
Whales bought $13K in YES contracts even as market price dropped from 56.8% to 8.2% over 24 hours.
Jul 19
Breaking
Iran military action odds plunge 52.5pp to 4.5% amid whale-buying divergence
Polymarket’s “Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 15?” market saw a sharp 52.5 percentage point drop in YES price despite $9K whale net inflow into YES contracts, highlighting a rare divergence between price moves and whale activity.
Jul 19
Breaking
Mbappe Top Scorer Odds Surge 51pp to 92.5% on Whale Buying
Whales supported a sharp 51 percentage point jump in Mbappe’s top goalscorer market with $555K net inflow amid $1.31M daily volume.
Jul 19
Breaking
Madonna World Cup Halftime Show Odds Drop 26.5 Points as Whale Flow Diverges
The market for 'Like a Prayer' opening the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final Halftime Show fell sharply despite whale bets moving against the price trend.
Jul 19
Breaking
Madonna’s 2026 World Cup halftime opener odds tumble 42.5pp despite whale selling
The market for 'Like a Prayer' as Madonna’s first 2026 World Cup halftime song dropped from 53.0% to 10.5%, while whale flow moved against the price shift.
Jul 19
Breaking
Iran Gulf military action odds plunge 46pp despite $7K whale buying
Whales increased YES bets by $7K while market price dropped from 57.0% to 11.0% in 24 hours, diverging from whale flow.
Jul 19