The market question “Over $30M committed to the Credible public sale?” saw a substantial increase in its YES contract price, climbing 37.0 percentage points over the past 24 hours to reach 90.5%, up from an estimated 53.5% a day earlier. This sharp repricing signals a marked shift in market sentiment toward the likelihood of the public sale surpassing the $30 million threshold.
Supporting the price rally, whale activity showed clear alignment with the tape, as net whale flow into YES contracts amounted to $52K within the same timeframe. Whale buy volume stood at $110K against $58K in sell volume, spread among 111 unique whale traders, underscoring broad participation from large investors. Total 24-hour volume on Polymarket for this market was $133K, contributing significantly to the lifetime market volume of $220K recorded by Polydata.
The convergence of strong buying interest from whales and the steep rise in YES price reflects a growing conviction in the market that the Credible public sale will exceed $30 million in commitments.
| Market | Over $30M committed to the Credible public sale? |
|---|---|
| Market ID | 2845812 |
| 24h price change | +37.0 pp |
| YES now (PM Breaking) | 90.5% |
| YES ~24h ago (est.) | 53.5% |
| YES (Polydata overview) | 90.5% |
| Whale net flow (24h) | $52K |
| Whale buy / sell (24h) | $110K / $58K |
| Unique whales (24h) | 111 |
| Volume 24h (PM) | $133K |
| Unique traders (Polydata) | 357 |
Source: Polydata API v3 · /whales/flow + Polymarket Breaking · snapshot 2026-07-16. Data: Polydata API v3. On-chain figures are public. Realized PnL is computed over resolved markets only and excludes open positions, so it is conservative versus the Polymarket UI. This is not investment advice.