Breaking
Iran Military Action Market Surges 33pp as Whales Back YES with $6K Net Flow
Whale buying aligned with a sharp 24-hour jump from 57.0% to 90.0% in the odds of Iran taking military action on July 17.
Jul 17
Archive
Daily digests, accuracy rankings and market reads on Polymarket data. 2,341 stories.
Breaking
US x Iran Ceasefire Odds Drop 18pp Amid Divergent Whale Activity
YES contract for an effective ceasefire by August 14 fell from 53.0% to 35.0% as whale flow diverged from price action.
Jul 17
Breaking
‘Will Trump meet Netanyahu by July 24, 2026?’ YES price drops 19.5 pp amid whale selling
Polymarket’s odds for a Trump-Netanyahu meeting fell sharply from 32.5% to 13.0% as whale flow diverged, signaling growing skepticism.
Jul 17
Breaking
Bitcoin $62,500 July Dip Contract Jumps 21pp to 92% on Whale Buying
Whales contributed $17K net inflow as Polymarket traders sharply raised odds of a Bitcoin price dip this month.
Jul 17
Breaking
Iran military action odds surge 31.5pp to 85% on Polymarket amid whale buying
Whales pushed $5K net into YES as market price jumped from 53.5% to 85% in 24 hours.
Jul 17
Breaking
Odds that Houthis will target shipping by July 31, 2026 jump 24.5 pp in 24h
Whale bets and price shifts aligned as YES contract surged from 37.5% to 62.0% on Polymarket.
Jul 17
Breaking
Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026? YES jumps 25.1 pp on whale support
Moonshot’s odds more than doubled to 51.4% as whales contributed $6K net buying, aligning with the price surge.
Jul 17
Breaking
Houthis Shipping Target Odds Surge 32.5 Points to 70% on Polymarket
Whale activity tracked the sharp 24-hour jump, reinforcing rising market confidence in a successful attack by July 31, 2026.
Jul 17
Breaking
Apple market cap contract surges 38.8pp to 49.6% on Polymarket with whale support
Whales contributed $9K net buying as the market sharply repriced the chance Apple leads in market cap by July 31.
Jul 17
Breaking
Will Max Martin attend Taylor Swift’s wedding? YES price plunges 56.4 pp amid whale flow divergence
Max Martin attendance odds on Polymarket dropped from 88.1% to 31.7% as whale buying diverged from price moves.
Jul 17