Daily digests, accuracy rankings and market reads on Polymarket data. 631 stories.
Despite the market pricing Morocco’s 2026 World Cup win at 2.5%, whales have pushed $1.32M net into YES in the last 24 hours, diverging from consensus.
Trading activity slowed to $69.37M over 2.19M trades as top FIFA World Cup markets dominate open interest.
A top-30 trader placed a $356K bet backing Brazil in the 2026 Brazil vs. Norway market, joining broad whale buying seen in the last 24 hours.
A single wallet wagered $372K on Morocco to win the 2026 World Cup, challenging a low 2.5% market probability amid heavy whale activity.
A $1.00M wager by a historically accurate trader pushes against the market consensus on Belgium’s longshot World Cup chances.
This market leads Polymarket’s volume rankings despite a low 1.8% ‘Yes’ price, closing in 178 days.
The USA’s chances at the 2026 FIFA World Cup are priced at 2.5% in Polymarket’s top sports market, closing in 14 days.
London leads with $62.13M traded, while Dallas’s 10.4°F forecast range signals unsettled conditions
Polydata’s exclusive PMX composite shows market activity sharply subdued, driven by a plunge in trading volume and whale activity.
With two weeks to close, the largest geopolitics market on Polymarket reflects minimal optimism for Iran’s World Cup chances.
