Whales
Wallet #10 leaderboard trader buys $313K on Mexico-England draw at 30.5% market chance
A top-10 ranked wallet placed nearly $1M in bets today including a $313K buy against the consensus on a Mexico-England draw.
Jul 6
Archive
Daily digests, accuracy rankings and market reads on Polymarket data. 625 stories.
Markets
‘Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?’ market sees $18.81M surge in 4 hours
The prediction market for the USA winning the 2026 World Cup reached $135.46M in total volume, with YES priced at 3.1%.
Jul 6
Markets
Mexico World Cup 2026 Market Sees $24.99M Volume Surge in Four Hours
The prediction market for Mexico winning the 2026 FIFA World Cup reached $137.81M total volume amid a sharp $24.99M spike, with YES priced at 0.05%.
Jul 6
Whales
$1.18M net whale inflow contrasts with 1.4% price on Belgium 2026 World Cup win
Whales invested heavily in Belgium despite the market pricing their victory at just 1.4%, highlighting a divergence between large traders and overall market consensus.
Jul 6
Whales
Whales net $1.32M betting Morocco will win 2026 World Cup as market prices YES at 2.5%
Despite the market pricing Morocco’s 2026 World Cup win at 2.5%, whales have pushed $1.32M net into YES in the last 24 hours, diverging from consensus.
Jul 6
Daily
Polymarket Sees $69.37M in 24h, Volume 30.3% Below Recent Average
Trading activity slowed to $69.37M over 2.19M trades as top FIFA World Cup markets dominate open interest.
Jul 6
Whales
Whale Buys $356K on Brazil Win in 2026 World Cup Market
A top-30 trader placed a $356K bet backing Brazil in the 2026 Brazil vs. Norway market, joining broad whale buying seen in the last 24 hours.
Jul 6
Whales
$372K Buy on Morocco World Cup Win Defies 2.5% Market Odds
A single wallet wagered $372K on Morocco to win the 2026 World Cup, challenging a low 2.5% market probability amid heavy whale activity.
Jul 6
Whales
@Flipadelphia Bets $1.00M on Belgium to Win 2026 World Cup at 1.4% Odds
A $1.00M wager by a historically accurate trader pushes against the market consensus on Belgium’s longshot World Cup chances.
Jul 6
Markets
‘Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?’ tops Polymarket with $64.35M volume
This market leads Polymarket’s volume rankings despite a low 1.8% ‘Yes’ price, closing in 178 days.
Jul 6