Whales
@Flipadelphia Bets $1.00M on Belgium to Win 2026 World Cup at 1.4% Odds
A $1.00M wager by a historically accurate trader pushes against the market consensus on Belgium’s longshot World Cup chances.
Jul 6
Archive
Daily digests, accuracy rankings and market reads on Polymarket data. 637 stories.
Markets
‘Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?’ tops Polymarket with $64.35M volume
This market leads Polymarket’s volume rankings despite a low 1.8% ‘Yes’ price, closing in 178 days.
Jul 6
Markets
$116.65M Traded on USA Winning 2026 FIFA World Cup, Market’s Largest Sports Bet
The USA’s chances at the 2026 FIFA World Cup are priced at 2.5% in Polymarket’s top sports market, closing in 14 days.
Jul 6
Weather
Weather markets hit $244.72M across 39 cities, Dallas shows widest forecast gap
London leads with $62.13M traded, while Dallas’s 10.4°F forecast range signals unsettled conditions
Jul 6
PMX Index
PMX sentiment index hits 26.8, flagging deep risk-off mood with volume at 27-day low
Polydata’s exclusive PMX composite shows market activity sharply subdued, driven by a plunge in trading volume and whale activity.
Jul 6
Markets
Iran’s 2026 World Cup Win Market Hits $62.23M, Yes Price at 0.05%
With two weeks to close, the largest geopolitics market on Polymarket reflects minimal optimism for Iran’s World Cup chances.
Jul 6
Daily
London leads $244.72M in weather trading as Atlanta’s forecast splits by 5.9°F
Weather markets across 39 cities hold $244.72M in active volume, underscoring the sector’s growing traction among prediction traders. London commands the largest share with $62.13M in volume, supported by a tight forecast range for today’s high between 32°C and 33°C, reflecting strong consensus among sources. Top weather markets by volume; labels: today’s forecast high range. […]
Jul 6