Daily digests, accuracy rankings and market reads on Polymarket data. 2,341 stories.
Polymarket’s YES price for a July 17 launch collapsed from 32.0% to 0.05%, while whales added $18K net into the contract, diverging from price action.
YES price on SpaceX launch contract plunges from 95.5% to 0.05% despite $21K whale net buying, signaling a sharp market reassessment.
Whale trading aligned with sharp price rise, signaling strong conviction in Nordone's nomination chances.
Polymarket’s “Will Anthropic extend Claude Fable 5 paid-plan access again by July 19?” contract dropped from 77.5% to 49.5% despite whale flows moving against the price shift.
Whale trading aligned with a sharp 55.7 percentage point jump in the likelihood Darline Graham Nordone wins the South Carolina Republican Senate nomination.
Whales increased their YES bets by $16K even as the market price for Ethereum hitting $2,000 in July fell sharply from 47.5% to 32.5%.
Polymarket’s “Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 15?” market more than doubled in probability amid aligned whale buying.
Whale activity mirrored the sharp rise in YES price, reinforcing the market’s growing confidence.
Whale activity diverged sharply from market price as Polymarket slashed chances of launch by July 17.
Polymarket’s “Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 launch by July 17?” market plunged from 87.0% to 0.15% even as whales bought $28K in YES contracts, signaling a sharp divergence between price action and large investor flow.
