Daily digests, accuracy rankings and market reads on Polymarket data. 2,341 stories.
Polymarket’s odds for Iranian military action fell sharply despite whales not backing the move, signaling market uncertainty.
Whales increased their YES bets by $5K even as the market price for Claude Opus release fell sharply from 73.5% to 49.0%.
Whales aligned with the price move, adding $1.17M net into YES as odds jumped sharply in 24 hours.
Whale buying matched the sharp rise in odds for Lucy Powell becoming UK Culture Secretary by 2026.
Whale investors contributed $1.16M net into YES as the market price surged from 63.0% to near certainty in 24 hours.
Whales and price action aligned as the market sharply repriced Trump’s presence in the World Cup champions photo, signaling near certainty among traders.
Whales moved $133 net into NO as the market sharply repriced Mark Sutcliffe’s chances in the past 24 hours.
Whale activity and price movement aligned as Polymarket’s ‘Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo?’ contract surged near certainty.
Whale activity aligned with a sharp 44 percentage point drop in YES odds, signaling growing skepticism on Polymarket.
Despite a 21 percentage point drop in YES price, whale flow moved $5K net into YES contracts, signaling a divergence on Polymarket.
