Breaking
Trump in WC Champions Photo contract surges 36pp to 99.6% with $1.14M whale inflow
Whales and price moves aligned as Polymarket’s “Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo?” contract jumped sharply in a single day.
Jul 20
Archive
Daily digests, accuracy rankings and market reads on Polymarket data. 2,341 stories.
Breaking
Lucy Powell’s Culture Secretary Odds Jump 35.1 Points as Whales Back the Move
The market for Lucy Powell becoming UK Culture Secretary in 2026 surged from 12.5% to 47.6% alongside $4K whale inflows in the past 24 hours.
Jul 20
Breaking
Odds for 30 ships transiting the Strait of Hormuz by July 31, 2026, jump 16.8 pp to 30.8%
Whales increased exposure with $6K net inflow into YES contracts, aligning with the sharp price move on Polymarket.
Jul 20
Breaking
Oleksandr Syrskyi Exit Odds Jump 17.5pp to 84% on Polymarket with Whale Support
The market for Syrskyi’s removal as Ukraine’s Commander-in-Chief sees a sharp rise alongside aligned whale bets, signaling growing conviction.
Jul 20
Breaking
US halt on Iran offensive by July 24? YES price jumps 18 pp to 26%
Whale activity tracked with the price surge as market optimism on a US halt in Iran's offensive operations rises sharply in 24 hours.
Jul 20
Breaking
Claude Opus July 22, 2026 Release Odds Drop 26pp as Whale Flow Diverges
Polymarket’s YES contract for the Claude Opus release fell from 41.0% to 15.0% despite whale buying diverging from price action.
Jul 20
Breaking
Odds Surge 21pp to 87.5% on Oleksandr Syrskyi Exit by End-2026
Whale activity matched the sharp 21.0 percentage point rise in Syrskyi exit odds, as $16K traded in 24 hours on Polymarket.
Jul 20
Breaking
Trump in WC Champions Photo YES jumps 36.5 points to 99.6% on $1.14M whale inflow
Whales pushed $1.14M into YES as the market price surged from 63.0% to near certainty in 24 hours.
Jul 20
Breaking
US halt on Iran offensive by July 24? YES price jumps 21pp to 30% on aligned whale flow
Polymarket’s “US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 24?” market saw a sharp 21pp rise in YES price, driven by whale activity matching the price move.
Jul 20
Breaking
Trump WC Champions Photo YES jumps 36.4pp to 99.5% on $1.13M whale inflows
Whales and retail traders aligned as the market surged from 63.0% to near certainty in 24 hours.
Jul 20