Markets
Foreign intervention in Gaza by December draws cautious odds at 59%
As geopolitical tensions intensify, markets price a meaningful chance of foreign intervention in Gaza by year-end.
Jul 31
Archive
Daily digests, accuracy rankings and market reads on Polymarket data. 2,341 stories.
Markets
Israel-Hamas Second Ceasefire by Year-End Priced at 64.5% on Polymarket
As ceasefire negotiations continue, market pricing signals tempered hopes for peace before 2027.
Jul 31
Daily
Polymarket Sees $33.76M in 24-Hour Volume, Down 30% from Recent Average
Despite a dip in activity, nearly 47,000 wallets traded across over half a million active markets, led by a $64.78M Jesus Christ return market.
Jul 22
Markets
Apple Nears Second-Largest Company Spot by July 31 Amid Market Volatility
Recent tussles for top market cap between Apple and Nvidia spotlight shifting investor attitudes as July closes in.
Jul 21
Markets
Houthis’ Red Sea attacks priced at 58.5% as maritime blockade bites
Recent Houthi naval threats and attacks escalate Red Sea risks, with traders weighing chances of successful shipping disruptions by July’s end.
Jul 21
Daily
Polymarket sees $39.24M traded across 1.75M trades in 24 hours
Trading volume dips 26.3% below five-day average as engagement remains steady with 47,117 active wallets
Jul 21
Markets
Solana price hovers in mid-$70s as July dip to $70 stalls at 32.5%
Despite recent dips, Solana spot price remains within a tight range, mirroring cautious market sentiment on July's $70 threshold.
Jul 20
Markets
US Government removes public access to another Anthropic AI model at 20.5% Yes
After earlier shutdowns, the US government considers further restrictions on Anthropic, fueling market uncertainty.
Jul 20
Markets
OpenAI’s valuation hit $800B by July 31? Polymarket prices show cautious bets
Latest data from Polymarket reveals modest confidence on OpenAI surpassing an $800B valuation milestone this month.
Jul 20
Markets
Two SpaceX Starships docking by 2027 priced near even on Polymarket
Starship docking plans unfold alongside Artemis lunar program delays and hardware updates.
Jul 20