Breaking
Kareem Allam’s 2026 Vancouver mayoral win odds drop 18.5pp despite $5K whale inflow
Whale buying diverged from a sharp 18.5 percentage point drop in the Yes price for Allam’s victory, signaling conflicting market signals.
Jul 19
Archive
Daily digests, accuracy rankings and market reads on Polymarket data. 2,341 stories.
Breaking
US halt on Iran offensive by July 24? YES price drops 28pp despite whale buying
Polymarket's 'US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 24?' market sees a sharp 28pp decline in YES price amid divergent whale activity.
Jul 19
Breaking
Iran Gulf military action odds plunge 47pp despite $7K whale buys
Polymarket's 'Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 15?' contract fell sharply in price while whale buying diverged from the downward move.
Jul 19
Breaking
Mbappe Top Scorer Odds Surge 51pp to 92.5% on $521K Whale Buy Flow
Kylian Mbappe’s 2026 World Cup top scorer market jumps sharply, with whale activity confirming the rapid repricing.
Jul 19
Breaking
Kareem Allam Vancouver Mayoral Odds Drop 24.5 Points as Whale Flow Diverges
YES contract price for Kareem Allam’s 2026 Vancouver mayoral win fell sharply even as whales added $5K net to YES positions, signaling conflicting market signals.
Jul 19
Breaking
Polymarket YES price on US halting Iran offensive drops 19.5 pp amid whale divergence
The market price for a US announcement to stop Iran offensive operations by July 24 fell sharply while whale flow opposed the move, signaling conflicting signals in trader behavior.
Jul 19
Breaking
Madonna’s 2026 World Cup halftime opener odds drop 23pp amid whale flow divergence
Polymarket’s 'Like a Prayer' first-song market sees sharp 24-hour price fall to 10%, while whale bets diverge
Jul 19
Breaking
Odds for US halting Iran offensive by July 24 plunge 35.5pp amid whale divergence
Polymarket’s “US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 24?” market saw a sharp 35.5 percentage point drop in YES price over 24 hours while whale activity diverged from the price move.
Jul 19
Breaking
Mbappe’s 2026 World Cup top scorer odds surge 52pp to 93.5% with $534K whale inflow
Whales and retail traders drove a sharp revaluation of Kylian Mbappe’s chances to lead scoring at the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
Jul 19
Breaking
Odds for Oleksandr Syrskyi’s exit as Ukraine’s Commander-in-Chief jump 37pp in 24h
Whale activity aligned with a sharp repricing of the market, lifting YES odds from 31.5% to 68.5%.
Jul 19