Breaking
Iran Gulf military action odds plunge 46pp despite $7K whale buying
Whales increased YES bets by $7K while market price dropped from 57.0% to 11.0% in 24 hours, diverging from whale flow.
Jul 19
Archive
Daily digests, accuracy rankings and market reads on Polymarket data. 2,341 stories.
Breaking
Odds for US halting Iran offensive by July 24 drop 20pp on Polymarket
Whale trading diverged sharply from price moves as market slashed chances of a US halt in Iran offensive operations.
Jul 19
Breaking
Alibaba AI model odds jump 26.5 points to 65.2% on Polymarket amid whale buying
Whale investors added $4K net to YES as odds for Alibaba leading Chinese AI by July 2026 surged sharply.
Jul 19
Breaking
Max Martin attendance odds jump 30pp to 59.5% on Polymarket
Whale buying aligned with price surge as market doubles probability in 24 hours
Jul 19
Breaking
Mbappe’s Top Goalscorer Odds Surge 51pp to 92.5% on $541K Whale Net Buy
Whales and retail traders aligned in pushing Kylian Mbappe’s top scorer odds sharply higher within 24 hours on Polymarket.
Jul 19
Breaking
Alibaba AI Market YES Price Jumps 26.4 Points to 61.9% on Whale Buying
Whale flows aligned with a sharp 26.4 percentage point rise in bullish odds on Alibaba’s AI model by July 2026.
Jul 19
Breaking
US halt on Iran offensive by July 24? odds drop 27pp despite whale outflows
The YES contract on US halting Iran offensive operations dropped sharply from 36.5% to 9.5%, while whale activity diverged by reducing exposure.
Jul 19
Breaking
Polymarket’s Iran Offensive Halt Market Drops 22pp as Whale Flow Diverges
Whale activity moved against the sharp 22pp drop in the US halting Iran offensive operations market, signaling differing views on the outlook.
Jul 19
Breaking
Iran Gulf State Military Action Odds Drop 42pp as Whale Flow Diverges
YES contract for Iran military action on July 15 fell from 58.0% to 16.0% despite $7K whale net buys, signaling conflicting signals between price and whale activity.
Jul 19
Breaking
Mbappe’s Top Scorer Odds Surge 51pp to 92.5% on $523K Whale Buying
Whale activity and price movement align as Mbappe’s chances at the 2026 World Cup spike sharply.
Jul 19