Whales
Whales add $252K to YES on Argentina’s 2026 World Cup win as price lingers at 1.9%
Large traders accumulate YES positions despite low market-implied probability, highlighting a divergence in sentiment ahead of market close.
Jul 7
Archive
Daily digests, accuracy rankings and market reads on Polymarket data. 2,341 stories.
Whales
$391K Net Whale Flow Into YES on Portugal World Cup Win at 0.05% Market Price
Whales have bought $4.17M versus $822K sold on Portugal’s 2026 World Cup win, diverging sharply from the 0.05% market-implied probability.
Jul 7
Markets
“Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?” Tops Sports Markets with $146.60M Volume
The market is the highest-volume sports market on Polymarket, part of a $3.72B event with over 138,000 traders.
Jul 7
Accuracy
0x3b58…eabd Tops 676,089 Wallets with 100% Accuracy in 224 Markets
The leading Polydata forecaster maintains perfect precision backed by $249K volume, outpacing all peers on accuracy and activity.
Jul 7
Daily
Polymarket Sees $81.38M in 24h Volume with 78,005 Active Wallets
Trading volume dips 11.2% below five-day average as 2.24M trades execute across nearly half a million markets
Jul 7
Whales
Whales Net $1.69M Into YES on Belgium World Cup Win Despite 2.2% Market Price
The largest wallets are increasing their exposure to Belgium winning the 2026 FIFA World Cup, diverging sharply from the market consensus.
Jul 7
Whales
Whales Bet $4.01M on Egypt to Win 2026 World Cup Despite 0.25% Market Price
A $4.01M net inflow from whales into Egypt's 2026 World Cup win contrasts sharply with the market's 0.25% implied probability, highlighting a notable divergence in sentiment.
Jul 7
Whales
0x314a…80f6 places $2.81M bet against consensus on Egypt winning 2026 World Cup
The trade stands out for its size and the wallet’s 95.2% accuracy record in resolved markets, joining broad whale buying pressure.
Jul 7
Weather
Weather trading tops $244.72M today; the fight is over Dallas’s 93.2°F–102.3°F high
London leads with $62.13M in volume while Dallas shows the widest forecast spread, signaling unsettled conditions.
Jul 7
Whales
Whales Net $539K Into YES on Portugal to Win 2026 World Cup at 0.05% Price
Despite a market-implied probability of just 0.05%, whales have poured $539K net into Portugal's 2026 World Cup win in the past 24 hours, signaling a notable divergence between large trader behavior and market pricing.
Jul 7