Wallet 0x3b58…eabd achieved the highest accuracy on Polydata this week, maintaining a flawless 100% record across 224 resolved positions. This performance stands out among 676,089 qualifying wallets, each with at least 20 resolved positions, making it the sharpest forecaster by accuracy combined with significant trading volume. The trader’s Brier score of 0.0001 reflects near-perfect calibration and consistency in prediction quality.
Volume behind this accuracy reached $249K, underscoring that this is not a micro-stake or unrepresentative sample. Accuracy is the key metric here rather than profit, with the Brier score rewarding consistent correctness rather than just occasional wins.
Trailing this leader are three other wallets also with 100% accuracy but fewer resolved positions and lower volume: 0xf891…319c with 184 positions and $209K volume, 0xe615…16e3 with 147 positions and $181K volume, and 0x921e…9a5f with 134 positions and $185K volume. Their performances confirm a cluster of highly accurate traders, but none match the leader’s combination of accuracy, volume, and breadth of markets.
This data highlights a rare level of precision sustained over an extensive set of markets and meaningful trading volume. It signals the presence of a consistently reliable forecaster on Polydata, which is crucial for market participants who rely on accurate signals in prediction markets. Such standout accuracy at scale is a notable benchmark for others in the ecosystem.
| Wallet | 0x3b58…eabd |
|---|---|
| Accuracy | 100% |
| Brier score | 0.0001 |
| Resolved positions | 224 |
| Volume | $249K |
Also near-perfect
| Wallet | Accuracy | Positions | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0xf891…319c | 100% | 184 | $209K |
| 0x921e…9a5f | 100% | 134 | $185K |
| 0xe615…16e3 | 100% | 147 | $181K |
Source: Polydata API v3 · /oracle/leaderboard · snapshot 2026-07-07. Data: Polydata API v3. On-chain figures are public. Realized PnL is computed over resolved markets only and excludes open positions, so it is conservative versus the Polymarket UI. This is not investment advice.