Whales
$796K Whale Inflow Contrasts 2.5% Price on Belgium 2026 World Cup Win
Large whale purchases in Belgium’s 2026 World Cup market diverge sharply from its low market-implied probability.
Jul 7
Archive
Daily digests, accuracy rankings and market reads on Polymarket data. 2,341 stories.
Whales
Whales Push $642K into USA Win at 0.05% Market Price for 2026 World Cup
Significant whale buying contrasts sharply with the market’s low valuation of a U.S. victory in the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
Jul 7
Whales
$1.53M Whale Net Flow Into YES on Egypt World Cup Win at 0.35% Market Price
Whales have bought $7.98M against $1.04M sold in the Egypt 2026 World Cup market despite a sub-1% market-implied probability.
Jul 7
Whales
$1.04M Sell Challenges 0.15% Odds on Fed Rate Hike After July 2026 Meeting
A top trader with 81.6% accuracy sells over $1M against a low-probability outcome, diverging from whale market flow.
Jul 6
Whales
@gamblito sells $450K on 50+ bps Fed hike in July 2026 at 0.35% market price
The $450K sell order runs against broader whale buying despite a low market-implied probability on Polymarket’s Fed decision market.
Jul 6
Whales
$354K Sell Stands Out in Brazil vs. Norway Market Amid $14.38M Volume
A top-10 ranked wallet executed $354K in selling Norway win bets, moving against recent whale buying trends.
Jul 6
Whales
Whale buys $1.64M on longshot Will Graham Platner for 2028 Democratic nomination
A single $1.64M bet on a 0.85% probability outcome joins broad whale buying in the 2028 Democratic nominee market.
Jul 6
Whales
Whales add $268K to England World Cup 2026 YES at 14.5% market price
Despite a 14.5% market-implied probability, whales bought $268K net on England winning the 2026 World Cup, signaling a divergence from the crowd.
Jul 6
Whales
Whales Increase Bets on Argentina at 17.2% Market Price for 2026 World Cup
Net whale flow of $160K into Argentina’s win contrasts with market-implied price, highlighting a divergence in sentiment.
Jul 6
Whales
Wallet sells $2.65M on Egypt winning 2026 World Cup at 0.25% market odds
A single trader’s $2.65M sale on Egypt contrasts with broader whale buying in the World Cup market.
Jul 6