Whales
Whales Load $583K on Morocco to Win 2026 World Cup Despite 2.8% Market Price
A $583K net whale inflow into Morocco’s 2026 World Cup win contrasts sharply with the market-implied probability of 2.8%.
Jul 9
Archive
Daily digests, accuracy rankings and market reads on Polymarket data. 2,341 stories.
Whales
$287K Whale Bet Challenges 8.5% Market Odds on Putin Exit by 2026
Top trader @ReedUpdatee places a large buy against the consensus in a $19.17M market with 68.2% accuracy record.
Jul 9
Whales
Whales Net $800K on Switzerland Win at 2.1% Market Price
Large traders have poured $800K into Switzerland winning the 2026 World Cup, diverging sharply from the market's 2.1% implied probability.
Jul 9
Whales
$500K bet on Mike Pence at 0.65% odds bucks Republican nominee market
A single wallet placed nearly $1M in wagers on low-probability GOP nominee outcomes, joining broader whale buying.
Jul 9
Daily
$72.25M traded on Polymarket as activity dips below weekly average
Daily volume fell 17.8% below the prior 5-day average despite nearly 2.5 million trades across 489,775 markets.
Jul 9
Weather
Weather trading tops $244.72M today; the fight is over Seattle’s 69.9°F–79.5°F high
London leads with $62.13M traded, but Seattle’s 9.6°F forecast spread signals the most uncertainty among 39 city markets.
Jul 9
Whales
Whale Sells $7.58M on Ronaldo Not Crying, Against 67% Market Odds
A wallet with 70.5% accuracy bets $7.58M against Ronaldo crying at the World Cup, diverging from the broader whale flow.
Jul 8
Whales
Whales bet $1.47M on Switzerland at 2.1% in 2026 World Cup market
Large whale inflows into ‘Yes’ on Switzerland diverge sharply from market odds in a $117M volume event.
Jul 8
Whales
Whales Add $255K to Argentina 2026 World Cup Win Bets Despite 19.4% Market Price
Whale buying diverges from current market odds, signaling a notable shift ahead of the market close in 13 days.
Jul 8
Whales
$800K Buy on Switzerland 2026 World Cup Win Defies 2.1% Market Odds
A single large purchase by 0x4fa1…885a bucks consensus in a high-volume World Cup Winner market.
Jul 8