Whales
Whales push $2.80M into YES on Switzerland World Cup win at 2.1% price
Significant whale buying diverges from the market-implied 2.1% chance for Switzerland to win the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
Jul 8
Archive
Daily digests, accuracy rankings and market reads on Polymarket data. 2,341 stories.
Whales
Whales Bet $4.82M on Egypt Winning 2026 World Cup Despite 0.05% Market Price
A $4.82M net inflow from whales into YES contrasts sharply with the market’s 0.05% implied probability for Egypt's 2026 World Cup victory.
Jul 8
Whales
$1.25M Bet Against Consensus on Egypt Winning 2026 FIFA World Cup
A single wallet placed $1.25M backing Egypt’s longshot bid, diverging sharply from the market’s 0.05% implied probability.
Jul 8
Daily
Polymarket Hits $103.04M Volume in 24 Hours, Top Markets Draw Over $140M Each
Volume surged 23.7% above the prior five-day average as active wallets topped 72,000, marking the week’s busiest day.
Jul 8
Whales
@elmcap2 places $814K bet against 0.30% market odds on Iran MOU withdrawal
The trader’s $814K buy on a longshot outcome joins $1.23M whale buying in a market totaling $1.27M in volume.
Jul 8
Weather
Weather trading hits $244.72M as Chicago’s forecast gap widens to 16.3°F
London leads with $62.13M in volume while Chicago’s wide forecast range signals unsettled market conditions.
Jul 8
Whales
Whale Buys $584K on Colorado Rockies vs. Los Angeles Dodgers, Joining $1.92M Whale Buy Flow
Top-10 ranked trader with 62.2% accuracy places a large $584K bet amid $2.22M total market volume on Rockies-Dodgers match.
Jul 8
Whales
Whale buys $291K on Fed hold after July 2026 despite 84.5% market odds
A top-accuracy wallet placed a large buy order backing no Fed rate change after July 2026, aligning with strong whale buying in the market.
Jul 8
Whales
Whales Bet $8.03M on Egypt to Win 2026 World Cup Despite 0.05% Market Price
Large traders have doubled net buying interest in Egypt's World Cup win at odds far below market pricing, signaling a sharp divergence.
Jul 8
Whales
Whales push $1.62M into YES on Argentina World Cup win despite 18.4% market price
Large whale bets diverge from market pricing on Argentina’s chances in 2026 FIFA World Cup with $1.62M net inflow into YES.
Jul 8