Breaking
SpaceX IPO Market Cap Odds Jump 18.5 Points as Whales Back Rally
Whales pumped $6K into YES contracts, pushing Polymarket odds for SpaceX topping 2026 IPO market cap to 86.5%.
Jul 9
Archive
Daily digests, accuracy rankings and market reads on Polymarket data. 2,341 stories.
Breaking
“Iran successfully targets shipping on July 8?” YES price drops 20.7pp amid whale-buy flow divergence
Whales bought $9K into YES contracts while market odds plunged from 22.8% to 2.1%, signaling a sharp mismatch between price action and large trader behavior.
Jul 9
Breaking
Citigroup Q2 credit loss provision YES price plunges 44.5 pp amid whale flow-price divergence
While the YES contract dropped from 92.5% to 48.0%, whales added $867 net into YES, signaling conflicting market signals.
Jul 9
Breaking
SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 Launch Odds Jump 18.5 Points with Whale Support
Whales added $5K to YES contracts as market price for SpaceX launch rose from 59.5% to 78.0% in 24 hours.
Jul 9
Breaking
“Iran successfully targets shipping on July 8?” YES price plunges 33.9 pp despite $9K whale inflow
Whale buying diverged sharply from a 33.9 percentage point drop in the YES price, signaling conflicting market signals.
Jul 9
Breaking
Google Gemini Pro July 17 Release Contract Sees 38.1pp Drop in YES Price Amid Whale Buying Divergence
Despite a sharp 38.1 percentage point decline in the YES price, whales added $8K net into the contract, signaling conflicting signals in the market.
Jul 9
Breaking
Iran shipping attack odds plunge 38.4 pp as whale flow diverges from price
Polymarket’s 'Iran successfully targets shipping on July 8?' market saw YES contracts drop from 40.8% to 2.4% despite $6K whale buying over 24 hours.
Jul 9
Breaking
Burna Boy World Cup halftime show YES jumps 66.8pp to 98.4% on whale buying
Whales pushed $4K into YES as Polymarket odds soared from 31.5% to near certainty within 24 hours.
Jul 9
Whales
Whales bet $200K on France to win 2026 World Cup despite 31.9% market price
A net $200K whale inflow contrasts with the market’s 31.9% implied probability for France’s 2026 World Cup win.
Jul 9
PMX Index
PMX composite slips to 36.5 as crypto activity hits 37-day low
Polydata’s exclusive PMX index shows subdued market mood with lowest crypto activity in over a month.
Jul 9