Breaking
Iran shipping attack odds plunge 18.1 pp as whale flow bucks price move
Polymarket’s ‘Iran successfully targets shipping on July 6?’ market saw YES contract slip from 21.9% to 3.9% despite $8K whale buying in 24 hours.
Jul 9
Archive
Daily digests, accuracy rankings and market reads on Polymarket data. 2,341 stories.
Breaking
Google Gemini Pro July 17 Release Odds Drop 40.4 Points Amid Whale Buying Divergence
YES price on Polymarket plunged from 52.4% to 12.0% while whales added $9K into YES, creating a sharp flow-price disconnect.
Jul 9
Breaking
Polymarket ‘Iran successfully targets shipping on July 8?’ YES price drops 26.6 pp despite whale buying
Whales bought $9K in YES contracts even as market price plunged from 28.6% to 2.1%, signaling a divergence between big-money flow and price action.
Jul 9
Breaking
Google Gemini Pro July 17, 2026 Release Odds Drop 45.1pp as Whale Flow Diverges
Polymarket's YES price for next Google Gemini Pro release slumps from 52.4% to 7.3% despite $9K whale net buys, signaling conflicting signals in the market.
Jul 9
Breaking
Citigroup Q2 credit loss provision YES price drops 37.0 pp despite $1K whale buying
Polymarket’s YES contract for Citigroup’s Q2 credit loss provision above $2.5B fell from 92.5% to 55.5%, diverging sharply from whale flow.
Jul 9
Breaking
Google Gemini Pro July 17 release odds plunge 41.5pp to 10.9% despite $9K whale buys
Whale buying diverged from a sharp 41.5 percentage point drop in YES price on Polymarket’s Google Gemini Pro release market.
Jul 9
Breaking
Iran shipping attack odds crash 32.2pp to 2.1% despite $9K whale bets
Whale flows diverged sharply from price moves as Polymarket’s 'Iran successfully targets shipping on July 8?' contract plunged in odds.
Jul 9
Breaking
Citigroup Q2 credit loss provision odds drop 40.5 pp despite whale buying
Polymarket’s YES price for Citigroup’s Q2 credit loss provision above $2.5B fell from 92.5% to 52.0% while whales added $1K net into YES, signaling a split between price action and whale flow.
Jul 9
Whales
@Eztennis Buys $410K in LoL Mid-Season Invitational Playoffs Market
A trader with 66.7% accuracy places $410K buy order amid $5.05M whale buying in a $7.52M market.
Jul 9
Breaking
Odds for GPT-6 Release by Sept 30, 2026, Jump 16pp to 65.5% on Polymarket
Whale buying aligned with sharp price rise as market price climbs from 49.5% to 65.5%.
Jul 9