Daily digests, accuracy rankings and market reads on Polymarket data. 2,341 stories.
Whale activity diverges sharply from a dramatic market sell-off, pushing the YES price down from 62.5% to near zero in 24 hours.
A $37K whale net inflow accompanied the sharp 24-hour price gain, aligning big-money bets with the market move.
Whale activity supported the sharp rise in odds, with $34K net inflow into YES contracts amid $57K total 24-hour volume.
Whales increased YES exposure by $36K while market price for Bilibili Gaming’s MSI 2026 victory dropped from 67.5% to 16.5% in 24 hours.
YES price on Polymarket dropped from 70.5% to 13.0% despite $42K whale net inflow into YES contracts.
The YES contract for a South Korean team winning MSI 2026 jumped from 26.0% to 69.5% as whales pushed $15K into the position.
Whales contributed $31K net buying as the market sharply lifted odds on Hanwha Life Esports’ MSI victory.
Whales increased YES exposure by $39K while market-implied probability for a US-Iran meeting by July 31, 2026 fell sharply.
The market for a US blockade on Iran by July 31 saw a sharp repricing alongside aligned whale buying, signaling a major shift in sentiment.
Whale trading aligned with a sharp surge in the probability of Iranian military action against a Gulf State on July 12, lifting the market from 6.5% to 83%.
