Breaking
Iran Shipping Target Market Soars 88.6pp to 90.9% as Whales Back Move
Whales contributed $11K net buying in line with a dramatic 24-hour rise from 2.3% to 90.9% on Polymarket.
Jul 12
Archive
Daily digests, accuracy rankings and market reads on Polymarket data. 2,341 stories.
Breaking
58.5-Point Plunge in Bilibili MSI 2026 Odds Contrasts With $20K Whale Buy Flow
Despite a sharp drop in the YES price for Bilibili Gaming to 0.05%, whales have increased their net exposure by $20K, signaling a split between market pricing and large trader activity.
Jul 12
Breaking
Iran Gulf military action odds surge 70pp to 77.5% with whale support
Polymarket’s ‘Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 12?’ contract jumps sharply as whale activity aligns with price move.
Jul 12
Breaking
US blockade on Iran odds jump 23.5pp as whales push $26K into YES
Polymarket’s contract on a US blockade of Iran by August 31 saw its YES price rise from 31.5% to 55.0%, driven by aligned whale buying.
Jul 12
Breaking
LCK MSI 2026 YES contract jumps 57.5 points to 100% as whales back the move
Whales contributed $31K net buying into the LCK MSI 2026 YES contract, aligning with the sharp price surge.
Jul 12
Breaking
“Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by July 31?” YES price jumps 30pp to 62.5% with $24K whale inflow
Whales boosted their bets alongside a sharp 30 percentage point rise in Polymarket odds for Russian capture by end of July.
Jul 12
Breaking
“Will a team from LPL (China) win MSI 2026?” YES price plunges 56.5pp amid whale flow-price divergence
Polymarket’s YES price for an LPL MSI 2026 victory falls from 56.5% to 0.05%, while whales add $36K into YES, signaling conflicting signals.
Jul 12
Breaking
Bilibili Gaming’s MSI 2026 odds plunge 56.5pp as whale flow bucks price move
Whales bought $28K into YES while the market’s probability collapsed from 56.5% to 0.05%, signaling conflicting signals on Bilibili’s chances.
Jul 12
Breaking
Iran Shipping Attack Odds Surge 93.3 Points as Whales Back YES with $11K Flow
Market for Iran targeting shipping on July 12 jumps from 2.3% to 95.7% with whale buying supporting the move.
Jul 12
Breaking
Will Bilibili Gaming win MSI 2026? odds plunge 62pp to 0.05% despite $34K whale buys
Polymarket’s price collapse on Bilibili MSI victory contrasts sharply with $34K whale net inflows into YES contracts.
Jul 12