Daily digests, accuracy rankings and market reads on Polymarket data. 2,341 stories.
Polymarket's contract on 40 ships transiting the Strait of Hormuz by July 31, 2026, saw a sharp 27.5 percentage point drop in YES price amid opposing whale activity.
Whale purchases of $48K in ‘YES’ contracts contrast with a sharp 17.5 percentage point decline in Polymarket price.
Whale activity matched the sharp shift in odds, signaling strong conviction behind the rapid repricing.
Whale activity and market prices moved in tandem as the probability of US sanction relief on Iranian oil surged on Polymarket.
Whale activity aligned with a sharp odds shift signaling growing market confidence in sanction relief by end of July.
Whale buying aligned with a sharp rise in YES price, pushing odds from 65.3% to 88.6% in 24 hours
Whale betting aligned with price surge as Polymarket market sees $13K volume in 24 hours.
Whales aligned with a sharp 20 percentage point rise in the chance of a US blockade on Iran by August 31, driving a surge in Polymarket activity.
Whale activity aligned with sharp price rise as market recalibrated odds on Russian advance
Whale trading volume aligned with sharp repricing, pushing probability from 6.5% to near certainty in 24 hours.
