Daily digests, accuracy rankings and market reads on Polymarket data. 2,341 stories.
Polymarket’s “Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 launch by July 20?” contract fell sharply as whale activity diverged from the price move.
Polymarket’s SpaceX launch market sharply reprices lower while whale flow moves counter to the price drop.
Whale activity diverged from price direction as the market sharply cut launch odds within 24 hours.
Despite whales adding $4K to YES contracts, the market price for Messi’s top goal contributions at 2026 FIFA World Cup plunged from 61.7% to 7.5% in 24 hours.
Whale activity supported a sharp rise in the market price for a French player leading the 2026 World Cup scoring race.
Whale activity aligned with a sharp rally in Mbappe’s top goalscorer market, driving YES price from 43.5% to 97%.
Despite a sharp decline in YES price to 18.0%, whale flow diverged by not supporting the move.
Market price for Starship launch by July 20 fell sharply even as whale flow diverged, signaling skepticism among large traders.
Despite a sharp 49 percentage point drop in odds, whales bought $1.62M into the YES contract on Messi's 2026 World Cup scoring status.
Whale activity and price shifts aligned sharply as bettors poured $2.21M in 24 hours on Mbappe’s World Cup scoring odds.
