Daily digests, accuracy rankings and market reads on Polymarket data. 2,341 stories.
Polymarket’s contract on Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 14 saw a sharp price jump aligned with whale buying, signaling a rapid shift in market sentiment.
Whale buying aligned with a sharp 24-hour price rise in the Iran Hormuz fees market, lifting odds to 72%.
Whale activity aligned with a sharp rise in odds for Houthis successfully targeting shipping by July 31, 2026.
Whales contributed $4K net buying as Polymarket odds for Iran military action surged sharply in 24 hours.
Whale activity aligned with a sharp 24-hour jump in odds, pushing the market close to certainty.
The market’s YES contract plunged from 37.5% to 7.5% in 24 hours while whale flow moved against the price trend.
Whales purchased $1.42M worth of YES shares in the Spain 2026 World Cup market despite a market-implied probability of just 21.1%.
The market for Iran imposing Hormuz fees by July 31 saw a sharp rise in YES price, backed by aligned whale activity amid $25K volume.
Whales added $3K net to YES as Polymarket prices in a sharp jump on July 14 Gulf conflict risk.
Whale trading aligned with a sharp market revaluation, pushing the contract to full certainty within 24 hours.
