Daily digests, accuracy rankings and market reads on Polymarket data. 117 stories.
Whales added $17K to YES contracts even as Polymarket’s price sharply dropped, signaling conflicting signals in the semifinal elimination market.
Wallet @TB14 backs Argentina with a large wager against the market’s 17.6% probability, joining broader whale buying in a $134M volume market.
Significant whale buying in France’s 2026 World Cup win market contrasts with a sub-40% implied probability, highlighting a split between big-money flow and crowd pricing.
Net whale flow into Spain's 2026 World Cup win bet diverges from prevailing market odds in a $107.17M volume market.
Whale buying diverges from market odds as $115.47M traded on World Cup Winner event with eight days to close.
Whale investors have pushed $256K into the YES side, diverging from the market price that values France’s win at 39.0%.
A single wallet placed $873K across two large bets backing Switzerland in a low-probability World Cup winner market, joining broader whale buying.
Whales bought $7.15M vs $2.93M sold in last 24h, diverging sharply from market odds on Switzerland's 2026 World Cup chances
Large trader activity contrasts sharply with low market-implied odds in Norway’s 2026 FIFA World Cup chances.
Whale activity and price action aligned as market sharply repriced the 2026 World Cup semifinal scenario
