Whales
$986K Net Whale Flow Into YES on Argentina World Cup Win Against 19.4% Market Price
Whales have poured nearly $1 million into Argentina winning the 2026 World Cup despite the market pricing it at under 20%.
Jul 15
#%sworld cup
Daily digests, accuracy rankings and market reads on Polymarket data. 117 stories.
Whales
Wallet 0x2c33…0563 Bets $1.64M Against 0.05% Odds on France Winning 2026 World Cup
A top-ranked trader placed the largest single bet on Polymarket today, backing a low-probability outcome in the World Cup Winner market.
Jul 15
Whales
$732K net whale inflow contrasts with 19.4% price on Argentina 2026 World Cup win
Whales bought $3.16M versus $1.02M sold in 24 hours, diverging from the market's sub-20% probability
Jul 15
Daily
Polymarket posts $54.59M volume with 2.3M trades in past 24 hours
Daily volume falls 18.4% below recent average amid strong activity in 2026 FIFA World Cup markets
Jul 15
Breaking
France’s chance to top 2026 World Cup goals drops 42.9pp despite $11K whale buys
Whales increased YES-side bets by $11K even as Polymarket’s price for France scoring most goals plunged from 54.0% to 11.1%.
Jul 14
Breaking
Spain Semifinal Elimination Odds Collapse 59.5pp to 0.05% on Polymarket
Whale buying of $38K into YES contrasts sharply with a near-total price drop, signaling a disconnect in the market.
Jul 14
Whales
$4.81M Net Whale Flow into YES on France Winning 2026 World Cup Against 0.05% Market Price
Whales have bought $11.92M and sold $2.97M on France's 2026 World Cup win market, diverging sharply from the 0.05% market-implied probability.
Jul 14
Breaking
Spain Semifinals Elimination Odds Collapse 59.5pp Despite $22K Whale Bets
Whale buying diverged sharply from a 59.5 percentage point drop in Spain’s elimination odds, exposing a split between price action and large traders.
Jul 14
Breaking
France Semifinal Elimination Contract Jumps 58.8 Points on Polymarket
Whales added $8K to YES positions as the contract price soared from 40.5% to 99.2% in 24 hours.
Jul 14
Breaking
‘Will France be eliminated in the Semifinals of the World Cup?’ YES jumps 56.6 pp to 97.1%
Whales pushed $6K net into YES as the market sharply repriced from 40.5% to 97.1% in 24 hours, with whale flow and price moving in sync.
Jul 14