Breaking
US Iran blockade odds climb 17.5 points as whales back YES with $29K net flow
Polymarket’s 24-hour price surge to 58.5% on US blockade question matched by strong whale buying signals increased conviction.
Jul 12
#%swhales
Daily digests, accuracy rankings and market reads on Polymarket data. 870 stories.
Breaking
Polymarket’s Iran shipping target yes contract jumps 93.1 pp to 95.3% with whale buying
Whales bought $11K into yes as the probability surged from 2.2% to 95.3% in 24 hours on Iran’s July 12 shipping target market.
Jul 12
Breaking
“Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by August 31?” YES price jumps 20 pp to 51.5%
Whales backed the sharp 24-hour price rise with $27K net inflow into YES contracts, signaling strong conviction.
Jul 12
Breaking
‘Will HEROIC Qualify to LAN BLAST Bounty 2026 Season 2?’ YES price plunges 49.3 pp to 0.65%
The market’s sharp drop contrasts with whale activity, revealing conflicting signals on HEROIC’s LAN BLAST qualification odds.
Jul 12
Breaking
“Will a team from LPL (China) win MSI 2026?” YES price plunges 57.5pp in 24h despite $30K whale buys
Polymarket’s YES contract for an LPL MSI 2026 win fell from 57.5% to 0.05%, diverging sharply from whale buying activity.
Jul 12
Breaking
58.5-Point Plunge in Bilibili MSI 2026 Odds Contrasts With $20K Whale Buy Flow
Despite a sharp drop in the YES price for Bilibili Gaming to 0.05%, whales have increased their net exposure by $20K, signaling a split between market pricing and large trader activity.
Jul 12
Breaking
US blockade on Iran odds jump 23.5pp as whales push $26K into YES
Polymarket’s contract on a US blockade of Iran by August 31 saw its YES price rise from 31.5% to 55.0%, driven by aligned whale buying.
Jul 12
Breaking
LCK MSI 2026 YES contract jumps 57.5 points to 100% as whales back the move
Whales contributed $31K net buying into the LCK MSI 2026 YES contract, aligning with the sharp price surge.
Jul 12
Breaking
Bilibili Gaming’s MSI 2026 odds plunge 56.5pp as whale flow bucks price move
Whales bought $28K into YES while the market’s probability collapsed from 56.5% to 0.05%, signaling conflicting signals on Bilibili’s chances.
Jul 12
Breaking
Will Bilibili Gaming win MSI 2026? odds plunge 62pp to 0.05% despite $34K whale buys
Polymarket’s price collapse on Bilibili MSI victory contrasts sharply with $34K whale net inflows into YES contracts.
Jul 12