Breaking
YES contract on Israel Yeshiva exemption jumps 85.5pp to 94.5% on Polymarket
Whales supported the sharp 24-hour rise in probability with $13K net inflow amid $23K total volume.
Jul 14
#%swhales
Daily digests, accuracy rankings and market reads on Polymarket data. 870 stories.
Breaking
“Will Russia capture Pokrovka by July 31?” YES price jumps 86.6 pp to 95.4% on Polymarket
Whales supported the sharp rally with $15K net buys as the market’s odds surged from 8.8% to 95.4% in 24 hours.
Jul 14
Breaking
Odds for Ed Miliband as UK Chancellor plunge 55.5pp to 13% amid whale buying divergence
Ed Miliband’s chance of becoming Chancellor dropped sharply on Polymarket despite whales increasing their YES positions by $23K.
Jul 14
Breaking
Ed Miliband Chancellor Market YES Price Drops 49pp Despite $23K Whale Flow
Whale activity diverged sharply from a steep 24-hour selloff that cut YES odds from 68.5% to 19.5%.
Jul 14
Breaking
Google Gemini Pro no-release odds surge 61pp to 84.5% on Polymarket
Whales supported the sharp rise in the probability that no new Google Gemini Pro model will arrive by July 31, 2026.
Jul 14
Breaking
Polymarket YES price on 30 ships transiting Strait of Hormuz falls 54.1pp in 24h
Whale trading diverges sharply from the price move as the market’s YES contract tumbles from 95.2% to 41.0%
Jul 14
Breaking
“No next UK Home Secretary in 2026?” YES price plunges 59pp amid whale flow divergence
Polymarket’s market on the UK Home Secretary question dropped from 91.5% to 32.5%, while whale activity favored YES contracts.
Jul 14
Breaking
Ed Miliband Chancellor Market YES Price Drops 59pp Despite $22K Whale Inflow
Whale buying diverges sharply from a steep 24-hour price decline in the UK Chancellor 2026 market.
Jul 14
Breaking
US charges Hormuz fees by August 31, 2026? YES odds plunge 76.4pp as whale flow diverges
YES contract price dropped from 83.0% to 6.6% while whales added $32K into YES, signaling a split between price action and whale behavior.
Jul 14
Breaking
Odds for 30 ships transiting Strait of Hormuz by July 2026 plunge 46.4pp on Polymarket
YES contract price halved amid a sharp divergence between whale buying and market pricing, signaling conflicting signals in trader sentiment.
Jul 14