Breaking
SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 Launch Odds Plunge 54pp to 32.5% on Polymarket
Despite a sharp 54-point drop in the YES price, whale trades diverged by reducing YES exposure, signaling skepticism amid $12K volume.
Jul 20
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Daily digests, accuracy rankings and market reads on Polymarket data. 870 stories.
Breaking
Trump’s Presence in WC Champions Photo Nears Certainty with 37.5pp Jump
Whales contributed $852K net buying as the market price surged from 61.5% to 99.1% in 24 hours.
Jul 20
Breaking
SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 Launch Odds Drop 64.5 Points in 24 Hours
Whale trading diverged sharply from price action as market odds fell from 86.5% to 22.0%.
Jul 20
Breaking
Europe’s 2026 FIFA World Cup Win Contract Surges 41.4 Points to 100%
Whales supported the sharp price rise, pushing net flow of $74K into YES on Polymarket.
Jul 20
Breaking
Rodri’s Golden Ball chances soar 94.6 points to 100% on Polymarket
Whale activity matched the surge, with $227K net inflow fueling a complete market repricing.
Jul 20
Breaking
Netherlands Fair Play Award YES price jumps 99.6pp to 100% with whale support
Whales contributed $12K net buying as the market for Netherlands winning the 2026 Fair Play Award surged from 0.40% to certainty.
Jul 20
Breaking
“Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo?” YES price jumps 35.1 pp to 97.7% on whale buying
Whales bought $741K into YES contracts as the market price surged from 62.5% to 97.7%, aligning flow and price moves.
Jul 19
Breaking
“Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo?” YES contract jumps 36.1 pp to 98.2%
Whales drove a $719K net inflow into YES as Polymarket odds surged sharply in 24 hours.
Jul 19
Breaking
Trump WC Champions Photo Market YES Price Surges 37pp to 98% on Whale Buying
Whale activity and price movement aligned sharply as the market for Trump’s WC Champions Photo appearance jumped from 61.0% to 98.0% in 24 hours.
Jul 19
Breaking
Europe’s 2026 FIFA World Cup win odds surge 41.4 pp to 100% on Polymarket
Whales supported the sharp rally with $71K net buys, pushing the market to full certainty within 24 hours.
Jul 19