Breaking
Iran shipping attack odds plunge 15.6 points as whales buy $4K in YES
Whale buying diverged from falling prices as market reevaluated Iran’s July 13 targeting of shipping.
Jul 15
#%swhales
Daily digests, accuracy rankings and market reads on Polymarket data. 870 stories.
Breaking
Iran MOU withdrawal odds drop 17pp to 16.5% amid whale buying divergence
Whales increased exposure to YES contracts even as market price fell sharply on Polymarket.
Jul 15
Breaking
“Over $30M committed to the Credible public sale?” YES price jumps 17 pp to 90%
Whale buying matched the surge in odds, with $44K net inflow confirming growing conviction in the market.
Jul 15
Breaking
“Will there be no next Home Secretary of the UK in 2026?” YES price drops 33.5 pp amid whale flow divergence
Polymarket’s contract on the UK Home Secretary role saw YES price fall sharply despite whales increasing their YES exposure, signaling mixed market signals.
Jul 15
Breaking
YES price on Mahmood as UK Chancellor jumps 38.2pp to 85.4% with $39K whale inflow
Shabana Mahmood’s chances for UK Chancellor in 2026 surged sharply alongside aligned whale buying activity.
Jul 15
Breaking
Shabana Mahmood Chancellor Market Jumps 25.6pp as Whales Back YES with $40K
The market on Mahmood becoming UK Chancellor in 2026 surged from 59.7% to 85.3%, driven by aligned whale buying and a spike in volume.
Jul 15
Breaking
Ethereum $2,000 July Contract Rises 20pp as Whales Back the Move
The 'Will Ethereum reach $2,000 in July?' market jumped from 48.5% to 68.5%, supported by $13K whale net inflows over 24 hours.
Jul 15
Breaking
Shabana Mahmood Chancellor odds jump 15.8pp to 77.2% on Polymarket with $41K whale inflow
Whales and retail traders aligned to lift the probability of Mahmood becoming UK Chancellor in 2026 amid $74K 24-hour volume.
Jul 15
Breaking
Moonshot AI model odds jump 21.9 pp to 32.1% with whale support
Moonshot’s chance at leading Chinese AI gains traction as whales add $4K net to YES in 24 hours
Jul 15
Breaking
UK Home Secretary 2026 Market Collapses 42pp as Whale Flow Diverges
The probability for no next UK Home Secretary in 2026 plunged from 55.5% to 13.5% despite $7K whale buying, signaling conflicting signals between price and whale activity.
Jul 15