Breaking
Alibaba AI model odds plunge 35.6pp to 46.5% despite $3K whale buy flow
A sharp 24-hour drop in YES price contrasts with whale buying on Polymarket’s Alibaba AI market.
Jul 16
#%swhales
Daily digests, accuracy rankings and market reads on Polymarket data. 870 stories.
Breaking
“No next UK Foreign Secretary in 2026?” YES price plunges 32.5pp amid whale-flow divergence
YES contract on no UK Foreign Secretary in 2026 drops from 52.0% to 19.5% while whales add $4K net into YES, diverging from the price move.
Jul 16
Breaking
China Q2 2026 GDP Growth Market YES Price Drops 64.4 pp Amid Whale Flow Divergence
Whale activity diverged sharply from a 64.4 percentage point plunge in YES price, signaling conflicting signals in China GDP growth expectations.
Jul 16
Breaking
“Will there be no next Home Secretary of the UK in 2026?” YES price drops 43pp to 10% amid whale buying divergence
Whales pumped $7K into YES contracts even as the market slashed odds from 53% to 10%, signaling conflicting signals in the UK Home Secretary market.
Jul 16
Breaking
Moonshot AI odds jump 31.2pp to 43.9% with $4K whale support in 24h
Whales bought heavily alongside a sharp price rise on Moonshot’s chance to lead Chinese AI by July 2026.
Jul 15
Breaking
“Over $30M committed to the Credible public sale?” YES price jumps 23.5 pp to 88.5%
Whale activity and price shifts aligned as confidence surged toward $30M public sale commitment on Polymarket.
Jul 15
Breaking
“No next UK Home Secretary in 2026?” YES price plunges 36 pp amid whale buying divergence
Polymarket’s odds for no successor Home Secretary dropped from 49.5% to 13.5%, defying $7K whale purchases in the last 24 hours.
Jul 15
Breaking
Iran MOU Withdrawal Odds Drop 23pp Despite $29K Whale Bets
Whales bought $42K in YES shares even as the market slashed the probability from 35.5% to 12.5%.
Jul 15
Breaking
Messi’s Golden Ball Odds Surge 46.1pp to 89.6% Amid $87K Whale Buying
Whale activity and a sharp price jump pushed the market on Messi winning the 2026 FIFA World Cup Golden Ball to near certainty in 24 hours.
Jul 15
Breaking
Europe’s chances of winning 2026 World Cup drop 23pp as whales diverge
Europe's YES price on the 2026 FIFA World Cup fell sharply despite $168K whale buying, showing a split between price moves and whale flow.
Jul 15