Breaking
Shabana Mahmood Chancellor Market Jumps 60.8pp as Whales Back the Move
The probability that Shabana Mahmood will be UK Chancellor in 2026 surged from 26.3% to 87.1% with whale flow reinforcing the shift.
Jul 16
#%swhales
Daily digests, accuracy rankings and market reads on Polymarket data. 870 stories.
Breaking
Ethereum $2,000 in July? YES price jumps 16pp to 61.5% with whale support
Whales contributed a net $12K into YES contracts as Ethereum hitting $2,000 in July gained significant odds on Polymarket.
Jul 16
Whales
Whales Bet $501K on LeBron James Winning 2028 US Presidency at 0.35% Market Price
A net $501K whale influx into YES contrasts with the market's low 0.35% implied probability in the LeBron 2028 Presidential Election market.
Jul 16
Breaking
Polymarket: Trump-Netanyahu meeting odds plunge 44pp despite whale selling
YES price on Trump-Netanyahu meeting drops from 60.0% to 16.0% while whale flow diverges, net selling YES
Jul 16
Breaking
John Healey Defence Secretary Odds Drop 17.5pp Despite Whale Buying
Polymarket’s market on John Healey’s 2026 Defence Secretary appointment fell sharply while whale flow diverged, signaling uncertainty.
Jul 16
Breaking
Odds for Shabana Mahmood as UK Chancellor in 2026 jump 55.7 pp to 88.2% on Polymarket
Whales contributed $41K net buying into YES contracts, aligning with the sharp price increase in the past 24 hours.
Jul 16
Breaking
Iran military action odds drop 21.5 pp despite $12K whale buying on Polymarket
Whale flow diverged from price as YES contracts fell from 94.5% to 73.0% amid $23K volume in 24 hours.
Jul 16
Breaking
Ethereum $2,000 in July Market Jumps 21pp as Whales Back the Rally
Whale investors added $12K net to YES as Polymarket odds on Ethereum hitting $2,000 rose sharply to 67.5%.
Jul 16
Whales
$1.53M net whale flow into YES on England winning 2026 World Cup contrasts 0.05% market price
Whales have bought $5.45M against $2.44M sold in 24 hours despite a near-zero market-implied probability for England's victory.
Jul 16
Breaking
South America World Cup 2026 YES Odds Surge 23pp to 42.5% on Whale Buying
Whales contributed $47K net buying as the market doubled its probability for CONMEBOL winning the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
Jul 16